Period inkubacije tokom pandemije COVID-19: sistematski pregled i meta-analiza.
Systematic reviews
Sažetak istraživanja
Pozadina
Cilj naše studije bio je da se kroz sistematski pregled i metaanalizu utvrdi period inkubacije COVID-19. Proveden je na osnovu preferiranih izvještajnih stavki za sistematske preglede i meta-analize (PRISMA). Kriterijumi za podobnost bili su sva objavljena primarna literatura zasnovana na populaciji u PubMed interfejsu i Science Directu, koja se bavi periodom inkubacije COVID-19, napisana na engleskom jeziku, od decembra 2019. do decembra 2020. Procijenili smo srednju vrijednost perioda inkubacije koristeći meta-analizu, uzimajući u obzir heterogenost između studija i analizu moderatora.
Rezultati Ovaj pregled je uključivao 42 studije sprovedene pretežno u Kini. Prosječni i srednji period inkubacije bili su maksimalno 8 dana, odnosno 12 dana. U različitim parametarskim modelima, 95. percentili su bili u rasponu od 10,3-16 dana. Najviši 99. percentil bio bi čak 20,4 dana. Od 10 uključenih studija u metaanalizi, 8 je sprovedeno u Kini, 1 u Singapuru i 1 u Argentini. Ukupni srednji period inkubacije bio je 6,2 (95% CI 5,4, 7,0) dana. Heterogenost (I 2 77,1%; p 2 0%). Srednji period inkubacije kretao se od 5,2 (95% CI 4,4 do 5,9) do 6,65 dana (95% CI 6,0 do 7,2).
Zaključci Ovaj rad pruža dodatne dokaze o periodu inkubacije za COVID-19 i pokazao je da je mudro ne odbaciti mogućnost perioda inkubacije do 14 dana u ovoj fazi epidemije.
Prikaži originalni naslov i sažetak na engleskom
The incubation period during the pandemic of COVID-19: a systematic review and meta-analysis.
Background The aim of our study was to determine through a systematic review and meta-analysis the incubation period of COVID-19. It was conducted based on the preferred reporting items for systematic reviews and meta-analyses (PRISMA). Criteria for eligibility were all published population-based primary literature in PubMed interface and the Science Direct, dealing with incubation period of COVID-19, written in English, since December 2019 to December 2020. We estimated the mean of the incubation period using meta-analysis, taking into account between-study heterogeneity, and the analysis with moderator variables.
Results This review included 42 studies done predominantly in China. The mean and median incubation period were of maximum 8 days and 12 days respectively. In various parametric models, the 95th percentiles were in the range 10.3-16 days. The highest 99th percentile would be as long as 20.4 days. Out of the 10 included studies in the meta-analysis, 8 were conducted in China, 1 in Singapore, and 1 in Argentina. The pooled mean incubation period was 6.2 (95% CI 5.4, 7.0) days. The heterogeneity (I 2 77.1%; p 2 0%). The mean incubation period ranged from 5.2 (95% CI 4.4 to 5.9) to 6.65 days (95% CI 6.0 to 7.2).
Conclusions This work provides additional evidence of incubation period for COVID-19 and showed that it is prudent not to dismiss the possibility of incubation periods up to 14 days at this stage of the epidemic.
Izvorni podaci
- DOI
- 10.1186/s13643-021-01648-y
- PMID
- 33832511
- PMCID
- PMC8031340
- Provjereno
- 2026-07-26
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